Monday Night Football “goes to the birds” when the Philadelphia Eagles host the Atlanta Falcons in the Week 2 finale.
The leaders of those two flocks are under the prime-time lights, with Jalen Hurts at the wheel of a dynamic Philadelphia attack and Kirk Cousins questioned about his health after a dud debut for Atlanta.
I look at the quarterback props for Monday Night Football and give my best Falcons vs. Eagles predictions and NFL picks for this September 16 tilt.
Kirk Cousins odds and props
My best bet: Kirk Cousins Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+148 at FanDuel)
My analysis:I’ll say this is a “best lean” rather than a best bet.
The state of Kirk Cousins’ Achilles has been the focal point on gambling social media all week, with many speculating the veteran QB has not fully recovered from the injury that ended his tenure with Minnesota.
I will admit, Cousins and the Atlanta Falcons got a raw deal having to run this offense for the first time against a defense as disruptive as Pittsburgh. Miscues and penalties had Cousins forced into many passing spots, allowing the Steelers to tee off — generating the second-highest pressure rate in Week 1.
The Philadelphia Eagles’ defense under Vic Fangio rarely blitzes, so Cousins will have more time in the pocket to find his form. Philadelphia showed growing pains in the opener against Green Bay in Brazil, breaking for two passing touchdowns from Jordan Love.
Player projections are right on the fence when it comes to Cousins’ TD total of 1.5, but with a negative public perception, Over 1.5 touchdown passes is paying plus money across the industry — including +148 at FanDuel.
Jalen Hurts odds and props
My best bet: Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (+105 at FanDuel)
My analysis:Getting Jalen Hurts at plus-money odds to score a touchdown is a rare opportunity. But with Saquon Barkley stealing all the thunder in Week 1 (two rush TDs, one receiving TD), the market has been manipulated enough.
We almost forget Hurts was inches away from touchdown glory late into that Week 1 game, but a botched exchange between him and a new starting center — Cam Jurgens — was a rare whiff for Philadelphia’s famed “Brotherly Shove”.
This Eagles attack is going to be among the best in the NFL and will have a few red zone chances vs. Atlanta tonight. Top target A.J. Brown is out, and all eyes will be on Barkley, giving added promise Hurts could cash one on a keeper. And, of course, the “Tush Push” will be in effect on those goal line sets.
Week 2 player projections have Hurts forecasted for .68 rushing touchdowns tonight, which, when put against the TD anytime market (0.5 TDs), presents rare positive value for a guy who’s rumbled for 38 paydirt trips over his last 47 games (0.8 TDs per game) — the most in the league since 2021.
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Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.
Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.
He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.
On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.
His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”
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