NFL playoff betting is a double-edged sword.
The urgency and gravitas of the postseason ups the intensity and interest to peak levels, as you have elite-level teams squaring off in do-or-die contests. But with a smaller slate of games, oddsmakers can laser focus their energy on those matchups, meaning these NFL odds are the sharpest you’ve seen all season.
For a few years, betting on the NFL playoffs (especially betting on the NFL Wild Card round) was as simple as taking the points with the underdogs. From 2017-18 to 2020-21, Wild Card pups were a profitable 15-3 against the spread.
Then last year happened.
After a 28-17 ATS overall run by dogs (62%) the previous four postseasons, the 2021-22 Wild Card round produced only one underdog winner, and pups went 7-6 ATS in the playoffs thanks to Cincinnati staying within +4.5 in the Super Bowl.
So, what’s this year’s Wild Card round have in store for a guy who writes a column based solely on taking the points? I dunno, but at least I’ve got momentum on my side.
After a nasty November slump, my NFL Underdogs picks and predictions pumped out a 12-6-2 ATS finish to the season, and we’re hoping that pups can find their bite once again in the tournament.
Here are my best NFL bets for the underdogs on Wild Card Weekend.